Today let's break down the once top 6 cryptocurrencies and one of the growth leaders of 2021 - the SOL token. What are the plans, does it make sense to buy and where to fix ๐
Prestory. Solana is a fast and very cheap blockchain where Alameda, FTX and other funds are invested. The funds didn't sell the token after the unlocks, but raised the rate from $2 to $260. Then the bear came and the rate plummeted to $30.
And in November the FTX exchange and the Alameda fund, the main manipulators of SOL, busted. As a result, the largest holders and backers of the project went bankrupt, pushing SOL down to $10.
Signals that the project is dead:
๐ฉ TVL (money in the ecosystem) dropped from $10 billion to $225 million, its lowest level since April 2021. 10%-40% of liquidity is being withdrawn from the major protocols each week. On top of that, the Top 3 protocol on Raydium solan recently got hacked.
๐ฉ Top-1 wallet on Solana added support for Ethereum and Polygon blockchain. Apparently to diversify the risks of working only on solana.
๐ฉ Top NFT collections DeGods and Y00ts will move to Ethereum and Polygon respectively in January. Apparently the NFT sphere on solana is coming to a sunset, too.
๐ฉ The number of developers on Solana has dropped from 2,453 to 75 in a year. Overall, there is a negative backdrop around Solana because of the tight ties to FTX and Alameda, who have used customer funds for their own purposes.
On the plus side:
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Solana has clear plans for 2023. Alex Yakovenko, CEO of Solana, explained what the team will be doing: developing Solana Stack software for mobile devices, creating a seamless network, simplifying programming...
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The network is still fast and cheap. NFT on solana is more user-friendly than on air + low commissions and there is a strong community. Cheap and fast on solana, it's an unploughed field for innovation and experimentation.
๐ค Conclusion.
Solana is very similar to EOS this cycle. It also gathered investments from powerful funds, also made 100+ X's and also collapsed 96%+. Solana still has a community, developers and even some liquidity. The network is not going to finally die.
I believe in a scenario where SOL, like EOS once did, will make 5-10 X's from the bottom during a bull market. The question is, how much of a collapse will the rate make before a bounce goes in? The rate could drop to $2 and make 5 X's back to the current price.
You can try to guess the bottom and catch 5-10 X's on a local bull. But also consider the risks and the manipulative nature of the asset. And if you are not ready to take risks - forget about the asset, the market is full of more interesting projects ๐ซก
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I'm hanii a creative coder, blogger, and self-proclaimed develope.